Short sellers boost bets against SpaceX and it's already costing them

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SpaceX

Tesla Motors, Inc.

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SpaceX

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Short interest about 31% of SpaceX free float — Ortex data

Cost to borrow still relatively cheap at 1% from as high as 14% at launch

Shorts sitting on mark-to-market losses of about $760 mln since IPO, Ortex says

No squeeze yet, but if shares rebound short sellers could be hit

By Saqib Iqbal Ahmed

- Short sellers are betting SpaceX's SPCX.O will resume its post-debut decline with nearly a third of its tradable shares now sold short — even as those wagers have already cost them nearly three-quarters of a billion dollars in paper losses.

The sizeable short position could inject further volatility into the stock, with every $1 SpaceX share price swing translating to roughly $200 million in gains or losses for shorts, Ortex estimates.

Short sellers, who sell borrowed shares in the hope of buying them back at a profit when the stock slips, were emboldened after SpaceX shares' initial burst of strength gave way to weakness and the share price slipped as much as 23% in the days following its June 12 market debut.

Short interest now stands at 196 million shares, about 31% of the free float, through Tuesday, up from some 83 million shares, or 13% of the free float, a week ago, Ortex data showed.

"(The rise in short bets) is extraordinary for a stock that has been public less than a month," said Ortex co-founder Peter Hillerberg.

SpaceX's more than $2 trillion valuation makes it a target for short sellers skeptical of its rich price tag, but strong retail and institutional interest and Musk's history of public battles against short sellers make that a risky proposition. SpaceX did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

SpaceX shorts are sitting on mark-to-market losses of about $760 million since the IPO, Ortex estimates.

When the stock bottomed near $153 last week they were up around $2.5 billion on paper, but the rebound in SpaceX shares since has wiped all of that out, Ortex data showed.

"SpaceX has been a roller coaster for the short sellers," Hillerberg said.

The cost to borrow SpaceX shares, a gauge of demand to short a stock relative to the supply of shares available to lend, remains relatively cheap at about 1%, Ortex data showed.

Given the number of shares sold short relative to the total tradable shares available, should SpaceX's stock price continue to rebound, short covering — where bearish investors are forced to buy shares to close out their wagers to avoid further losses — has the potential to push the shares even higher, Hillerberg said.

"(It's) a lot of potential fuel if it tips into a squeeze," he said.