Should Weakness in Abdullah Al-Othaim Markets Company's (TADAWUL:4001) Stock Be Seen As A Sign That Market Will Correct The Share Price Given Decent Financials?

A.OTHAIM MARKET

A.OTHAIM MARKET

4001.SA

0.00

It is hard to get excited after looking at Abdullah Al-Othaim Markets' (TADAWUL:4001) recent performance, when its stock has declined 3.6% over the past week. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company’s financials over the long term, which in this case look pretty respectable. In this article, we decided to focus on Abdullah Al-Othaim Markets' ROE.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

See our latest analysis for Abdullah Al-Othaim Markets

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Abdullah Al-Othaim Markets is:

40% = ر.س499m ÷ ر.س1.2b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each SAR1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made SAR0.40 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

A Side By Side comparison of Abdullah Al-Othaim Markets' Earnings Growth And 40% ROE

Firstly, we acknowledge that Abdullah Al-Othaim Markets has a significantly high ROE. Additionally, the company's ROE is higher compared to the industry average of 23% which is quite remarkable. As a result, Abdullah Al-Othaim Markets' exceptional 24% net income growth seen over the past five years, doesn't come as a surprise.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Abdullah Al-Othaim Markets' growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 14% in the same period, which is great to see.

past-earnings-growth
SASE:4001 Past Earnings Growth February 4th 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Has the market priced in the future outlook for 4001? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.

Is Abdullah Al-Othaim Markets Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Abdullah Al-Othaim Markets has very a high three-year median payout ratio of 104% suggesting that the company's shareholders are getting paid from more than just the company's earnings. Despite this, the company's earnings grew significantly as we saw above. Having said that, the high payout ratio is definitely risky and something to keep an eye on. To know the 3 risks we have identified for Abdullah Al-Othaim Markets visit our risks dashboard for free.

Moreover, Abdullah Al-Othaim Markets is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 94%. Accordingly, forecasts suggest that Abdullah Al-Othaim Markets' future ROE will be 41% which is again, similar to the current ROE.

Summary

Overall, we feel that Abdullah Al-Othaim Markets certainly does have some positive factors to consider. Namely, its high earnings growth, which was likely due to its high ROE. However, investors could have benefitted even more from the high ROE, had the company been reinvesting more of its earnings. As discussed earlier, the company is retaining hardly any of its profits. Having said that, the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down, as forecasted in the current analyst estimates. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.